Innovative Food Hldg Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 5.84

IVFH Stock  USD 1.86  0.01  0.53%   
Innovative Food's future price is the expected price of Innovative Food instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Innovative Food Hldg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Innovative Food Backtesting, Innovative Food Valuation, Innovative Food Correlation, Innovative Food Hype Analysis, Innovative Food Volatility, Innovative Food History as well as Innovative Food Performance.
  
Please specify Innovative Food's target price for which you would like Innovative Food odds to be computed.

Innovative Food Target Price Odds to finish over 5.84

The tendency of Innovative OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 5.84  or more in 90 days
 1.86 90 days 5.84 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovative Food to move over $ 5.84  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Innovative Food Hldg probability density function shows the probability of Innovative OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Innovative Food Hldg price to stay between its current price of $ 1.86  and $ 5.84  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.59 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovative Food Hldg has a beta of -1.12. This usually indicates Additionally Innovative Food Hldg has an alpha of 0.5739, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innovative Food Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovative Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovative Food Hldg. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.865.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.445.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.005.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.171.521.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Innovative Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Innovative Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Innovative Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Innovative Food Hldg.

Innovative Food Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovative Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovative Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovative Food Hldg, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovative Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.57
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Innovative Food Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Innovative Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Innovative Food Hldg can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innovative Food Hldg may become a speculative penny stock
Innovative Food Hldg appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Innovative Food Hldg currently holds 5.41 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.6, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Innovative Food Hldg has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Innovative Food until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Innovative Food's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Innovative Food Hldg sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Innovative to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Innovative Food's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 62.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (716.33 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.95 M.
Innovative Food Hldg currently holds about 2.36 M in cash with (3.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 32.0% of Innovative Food shares are held by company insiders

Innovative Food Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Innovative OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Innovative Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Innovative Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46 M

Innovative Food Technical Analysis

Innovative Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Innovative OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Innovative Food Hldg. In general, you should focus on analyzing Innovative OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Innovative Food Predictive Forecast Models

Innovative Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Innovative Food's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Innovative Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Innovative Food Hldg

Checking the ongoing alerts about Innovative Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Innovative Food Hldg help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Innovative Food Hldg may become a speculative penny stock
Innovative Food Hldg appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Innovative Food Hldg currently holds 5.41 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.6, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Innovative Food Hldg has a current ratio of 0.68, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Innovative Food until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Innovative Food's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Innovative Food Hldg sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Innovative to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Innovative Food's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 62.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (716.33 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.95 M.
Innovative Food Hldg currently holds about 2.36 M in cash with (3.66 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 32.0% of Innovative Food shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Innovative OTC Stock

Innovative Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether Innovative OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Innovative with respect to the benefits of owning Innovative Food security.