Inventis (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0003

IVT Stock   0.03  0.00  0.00%   
Inventis' future price is the expected price of Inventis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inventis performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inventis Backtesting, Inventis Valuation, Inventis Correlation, Inventis Hype Analysis, Inventis Volatility, Inventis History as well as Inventis Performance.
  
Please specify Inventis' target price for which you would like Inventis odds to be computed.

Inventis Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0003

The tendency of Inventis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.0003  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.0003 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inventis to drop to  0.0003  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Inventis probability density function shows the probability of Inventis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inventis price to stay between  0.0003  and its current price of 0.025 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inventis has a beta of -0.25. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Inventis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Inventis is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Inventis has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Inventis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inventis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inventis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.031.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.021.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00050.031.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Inventis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inventis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inventis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inventis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inventis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.001
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Inventis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inventis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inventis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inventis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Inventis has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Inventis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 13.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.38 M.
Inventis has accumulated about 946.73 K in cash with (708.11 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Inventis Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inventis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inventis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inventis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments95.6 K

Inventis Technical Analysis

Inventis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inventis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inventis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inventis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inventis Predictive Forecast Models

Inventis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Inventis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inventis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inventis

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inventis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inventis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inventis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Inventis has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Inventis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 13.63 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.42 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.38 M.
Inventis has accumulated about 946.73 K in cash with (708.11 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 78.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Inventis Stock Analysis

When running Inventis' price analysis, check to measure Inventis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inventis is operating at the current time. Most of Inventis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inventis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inventis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inventis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.