Iwatani (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.64

IWA Stock  EUR 10.31  0.00  0.00%   
Iwatani's future price is the expected price of Iwatani instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Iwatani performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Iwatani Backtesting, Iwatani Valuation, Iwatani Correlation, Iwatani Hype Analysis, Iwatani Volatility, Iwatani History as well as Iwatani Performance.
  
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Iwatani Target Price Odds to finish below 10.64

The tendency of Iwatani Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 10.64  after 90 days
 10.31 90 days 10.64 
about 13.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Iwatani to stay under € 10.64  after 90 days from now is about 13.03 (This Iwatani probability density function shows the probability of Iwatani Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Iwatani price to stay between its current price of € 10.31  and € 10.64  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Iwatani has a beta of 0.0853. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Iwatani average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Iwatani will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Iwatani has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Iwatani Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Iwatani

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iwatani. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9110.3111.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.739.1310.53
Details

Iwatani Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Iwatani is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Iwatani's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Iwatani, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Iwatani within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Iwatani Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Iwatani for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Iwatani can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iwatani generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Iwatani has accumulated €65.09 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Iwatani Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Iwatani Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Iwatani's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Iwatani's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57.5 M

Iwatani Technical Analysis

Iwatani's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Iwatani Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Iwatani. In general, you should focus on analyzing Iwatani Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Iwatani Predictive Forecast Models

Iwatani's time-series forecasting models is one of many Iwatani's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Iwatani's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Iwatani

Checking the ongoing alerts about Iwatani for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Iwatani help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Iwatani generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Iwatani has accumulated €65.09 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings
About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Iwatani Stock Analysis

When running Iwatani's price analysis, check to measure Iwatani's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Iwatani is operating at the current time. Most of Iwatani's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Iwatani's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Iwatani's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Iwatani to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.