Orix Corp Ads Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 106.35
| IX Stock | USD 112.82 4.86 4.50% |
Orix |
Orix Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 106.35
The tendency of Orix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 106.35 or more in 90 days |
| 112.82 | 90 days | 106.35 | about 11.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orix Corp to drop to $ 106.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.88 (This Orix Corp Ads probability density function shows the probability of Orix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orix Corp Ads price to stay between $ 106.35 and its current price of $112.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.79 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Orix Corp has a beta of 0.67. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Orix Corp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orix Corp Ads will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orix Corp Ads has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Orix Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orix Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orix Corp Ads. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orix Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orix Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orix Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orix Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orix Corp Ads, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orix Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Orix Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orix Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orix Corp Ads can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orix Corp Ads generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orix Corp Ads has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: ORIX Corporation Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript |
Orix Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orix Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orix Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 T |
Orix Corp Technical Analysis
Orix Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orix Corp Ads. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orix Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Orix Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orix Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orix Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orix Corp Ads
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orix Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orix Corp Ads help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orix Corp Ads generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orix Corp Ads has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: ORIX Corporation Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for Orix Stock Analysis
When running Orix Corp's price analysis, check to measure Orix Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orix Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Orix Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orix Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orix Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orix Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.