Jhancock Multimanager 2065 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.63

JAAWX Fund  USD 13.89  0.10  0.71%   
Jhancock Multimanager's future price is the expected price of Jhancock Multimanager instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jhancock Multimanager 2065 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jhancock Multimanager Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jhancock Multimanager Correlation, Jhancock Multimanager Hype Analysis, Jhancock Multimanager Volatility, Jhancock Multimanager History as well as Jhancock Multimanager Performance.
  
Please specify Jhancock Multimanager's target price for which you would like Jhancock Multimanager odds to be computed.

Jhancock Multimanager Target Price Odds to finish over 13.63

The tendency of Jhancock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 13.63  in 90 days
 13.89 90 days 13.63 
about 42.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jhancock Multimanager to stay above $ 13.63  in 90 days from now is about 42.07 (This Jhancock Multimanager 2065 probability density function shows the probability of Jhancock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jhancock Multimanager price to stay between $ 13.63  and its current price of $13.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jhancock Multimanager has a beta of 0.072. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jhancock Multimanager average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jhancock Multimanager 2065 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jhancock Multimanager 2065 has an alpha of 0.0945, implying that it can generate a 0.0945 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jhancock Multimanager Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jhancock Multimanager

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jhancock Multimanager. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jhancock Multimanager's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2913.8914.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2313.8314.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3213.9214.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.7313.9114.09
Details

Jhancock Multimanager Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jhancock Multimanager is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jhancock Multimanager's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jhancock Multimanager 2065, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jhancock Multimanager within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Jhancock Multimanager Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jhancock Multimanager for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jhancock Multimanager can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 91.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Jhancock Multimanager Technical Analysis

Jhancock Multimanager's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jhancock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jhancock Multimanager 2065. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jhancock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jhancock Multimanager Predictive Forecast Models

Jhancock Multimanager's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jhancock Multimanager's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jhancock Multimanager's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jhancock Multimanager

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jhancock Multimanager for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jhancock Multimanager help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 91.21% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Jhancock Mutual Fund

Jhancock Multimanager financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jhancock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jhancock with respect to the benefits of owning Jhancock Multimanager security.
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