Forty Portfolio Institutional Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 53.54

JACAX Fund  USD 58.65  0.44  0.76%   
Forty Portfolio's future price is the expected price of Forty Portfolio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Forty Portfolio Institutional performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Forty Portfolio Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Forty Portfolio Correlation, Forty Portfolio Hype Analysis, Forty Portfolio Volatility, Forty Portfolio History as well as Forty Portfolio Performance.
  
Please specify Forty Portfolio's target price for which you would like Forty Portfolio odds to be computed.

Forty Portfolio Target Price Odds to finish below 53.54

The tendency of Forty Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 53.54  or more in 90 days
 58.65 90 days 53.54 
nearly 4.16
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Forty Portfolio to drop to $ 53.54  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.16 (This Forty Portfolio Institutional probability density function shows the probability of Forty Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Forty Portfolio Inst price to stay between $ 53.54  and its current price of $58.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.98 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Forty Portfolio has a beta of 0.84. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Forty Portfolio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Forty Portfolio Institutional will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Forty Portfolio Institutional has an alpha of 0.0087, implying that it can generate a 0.008749 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Forty Portfolio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Forty Portfolio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forty Portfolio Inst. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.356.957.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.9758.8459.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.1357.9059.67
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Forty Portfolio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Forty Portfolio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Forty Portfolio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Forty Portfolio Inst.

Forty Portfolio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Forty Portfolio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Forty Portfolio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Forty Portfolio Institutional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Forty Portfolio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
1.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Forty Portfolio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Forty Portfolio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Forty Portfolio Inst can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Forty Portfolio Technical Analysis

Forty Portfolio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Forty Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Forty Portfolio Institutional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Forty Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Forty Portfolio Predictive Forecast Models

Forty Portfolio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Forty Portfolio's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Forty Portfolio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Forty Portfolio Inst

Checking the ongoing alerts about Forty Portfolio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Forty Portfolio Inst help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Forty Mutual Fund

Forty Portfolio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Forty Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Forty with respect to the benefits of owning Forty Portfolio security.
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