Flexible Bond Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.2
| JAFLX Fund | USD 10.16 0.03 0.29% |
Flexible |
Flexible Bond Target Price Odds to finish below 10.2
The tendency of Flexible Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 10.20 after 90 days |
| 10.16 | 90 days | 10.20 | about 59.02 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flexible Bond to stay under $ 10.20 after 90 days from now is about 59.02 (This Flexible Bond Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of Flexible Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flexible Bond Portfolio price to stay between its current price of $ 10.16 and $ 10.20 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Flexible Bond Portfolio has a beta of -0.0156. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Flexible Bond are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Flexible Bond Portfolio is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Flexible Bond Portfolio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Flexible Bond Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flexible Bond
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flexible Bond Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Flexible Bond Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flexible Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flexible Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flexible Bond Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flexible Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.51 |
Flexible Bond Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flexible Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flexible Bond Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flexible Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Flexible Bond Portfolio retains about 11.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Flexible Bond Technical Analysis
Flexible Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flexible Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flexible Bond Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flexible Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flexible Bond Predictive Forecast Models
Flexible Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Flexible Bond's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flexible Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flexible Bond Portfolio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flexible Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flexible Bond Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flexible Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Flexible Bond Portfolio retains about 11.66% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Flexible Mutual Fund
Flexible Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flexible Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flexible with respect to the benefits of owning Flexible Bond security.
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