Jpmorgan Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.53

JGCGX Fund  USD 8.55  0.01  0.12%   
Jpmorgan Income's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Income Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Income Correlation, Jpmorgan Income Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Income Volatility, Jpmorgan Income History as well as Jpmorgan Income Performance.
  
Please specify Jpmorgan Income's target price for which you would like Jpmorgan Income odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Income Target Price Odds to finish below 8.53

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 8.53  or more in 90 days
 8.55 90 days 8.53 
about 64.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Income to drop to $ 8.53  or more in 90 days from now is about 64.52 (This Jpmorgan Income Fund probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Income price to stay between $ 8.53  and its current price of $8.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Income Fund has a beta of -0.015. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jpmorgan Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jpmorgan Income Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jpmorgan Income Fund has an alpha of 7.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 6.9E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.428.558.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.208.339.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.438.578.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.488.528.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Income.

Jpmorgan Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Income Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0007
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.87

Jpmorgan Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Jpmorgan Income Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Income Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Income Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 8.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Income security.
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