Janus Triton Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 27.82

JGMNX Fund  USD 31.18  1.96  6.71%   
Janus Triton's future price is the expected price of Janus Triton instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Janus Triton Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Janus Triton Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Janus Triton Correlation, Janus Triton Hype Analysis, Janus Triton Volatility, Janus Triton History as well as Janus Triton Performance.
  
Please specify Janus Triton's target price for which you would like Janus Triton odds to be computed.

Janus Triton Target Price Odds to finish below 27.82

The tendency of Janus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 27.82  or more in 90 days
 31.18 90 days 27.82 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Janus Triton to drop to $ 27.82  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Janus Triton Fund probability density function shows the probability of Janus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Janus Triton price to stay between $ 27.82  and its current price of $31.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Janus Triton has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Janus Triton average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Janus Triton Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Janus Triton Fund has an alpha of 0.092, implying that it can generate a 0.092 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Janus Triton Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Janus Triton

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Janus Triton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.3231.1832.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.1230.9831.84
Details

Janus Triton Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Janus Triton is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Janus Triton's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Janus Triton Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Janus Triton within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Janus Triton Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Janus Triton for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Janus Triton can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Janus Triton Technical Analysis

Janus Triton's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Janus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Janus Triton Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Janus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Janus Triton Predictive Forecast Models

Janus Triton's time-series forecasting models is one of many Janus Triton's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Janus Triton's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Janus Triton

Checking the ongoing alerts about Janus Triton for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Janus Triton help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 98.0% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Janus Mutual Fund

Janus Triton financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janus with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Triton security.
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