Jpmorgan Growth Advantage Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 39.42

JGRJX Fund  USD 38.18  0.09  0.24%   
Jpmorgan Growth's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Growth Advantage performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Growth Correlation, Jpmorgan Growth Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Growth Volatility, Jpmorgan Growth History as well as Jpmorgan Growth Performance.
  
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Jpmorgan Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 39.42

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 39.42  or more in 90 days
 38.18 90 days 39.42 
about 16.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Growth to move over $ 39.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.06 (This Jpmorgan Growth Advantage probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jpmorgan Growth Advantage price to stay between its current price of $ 38.18  and $ 39.42  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.31 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Growth has a beta of 0.93. This indicates Jpmorgan Growth Advantage market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Jpmorgan Growth is expected to follow. Additionally Jpmorgan Growth Advantage has an alpha of 0.0038, implying that it can generate a 0.003822 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Growth Advantage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.9438.1839.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.0738.3139.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.3337.5738.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.5739.2841.00
Details

Jpmorgan Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Growth Advantage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
1.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.0024

Jpmorgan Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Growth Advantage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Jpmorgan Growth Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Growth Advantage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Growth Advantage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Growth Advantage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Growth security.
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