Jhancock Mgd Acct Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.88

JHFMX Fund   10.19  0.10  0.97%   
Jhancock Mgd's future price is the expected price of Jhancock Mgd instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jhancock Mgd Acct performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jhancock Mgd Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jhancock Mgd Correlation, Jhancock Mgd Hype Analysis, Jhancock Mgd Volatility, Jhancock Mgd History as well as Jhancock Mgd Performance.
  
Please specify Jhancock Mgd's target price for which you would like Jhancock Mgd odds to be computed.

Jhancock Mgd Target Price Odds to finish below 9.88

The tendency of Jhancock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.88  or more in 90 days
 10.19 90 days 9.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jhancock Mgd to drop to  9.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jhancock Mgd Acct probability density function shows the probability of Jhancock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jhancock Mgd Acct price to stay between  9.88  and its current price of 10.19 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jhancock Mgd has a beta of 0.0533. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jhancock Mgd average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jhancock Mgd Acct will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jhancock Mgd Acct has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jhancock Mgd Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jhancock Mgd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jhancock Mgd Acct. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8810.1910.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.519.8211.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7910.1010.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2210.4010.57
Details

Jhancock Mgd Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jhancock Mgd is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jhancock Mgd's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jhancock Mgd Acct, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jhancock Mgd within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Jhancock Mgd Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jhancock Mgd for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jhancock Mgd Acct can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jhancock Mgd Acct generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Jhancock Mgd Technical Analysis

Jhancock Mgd's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jhancock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jhancock Mgd Acct. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jhancock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jhancock Mgd Predictive Forecast Models

Jhancock Mgd's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jhancock Mgd's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jhancock Mgd's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jhancock Mgd Acct

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jhancock Mgd for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jhancock Mgd Acct help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jhancock Mgd Acct generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Jhancock Mutual Fund

Jhancock Mgd financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jhancock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jhancock with respect to the benefits of owning Jhancock Mgd security.
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