Jhancock Global Climate Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.04
| JLFSX Fund | 11.07 0.64 5.47% |
Jhancock |
Jhancock Global Target Price Odds to finish below 12.04
The tendency of Jhancock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 12.04 after 90 days |
| 11.07 | 90 days | 12.04 | about 74.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jhancock Global to stay under 12.04 after 90 days from now is about 74.79 (This Jhancock Global Climate probability density function shows the probability of Jhancock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jhancock Global Climate price to stay between its current price of 11.07 and 12.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jhancock Global has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jhancock Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jhancock Global Climate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jhancock Global Climate has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jhancock Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jhancock Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jhancock Global Climate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jhancock Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jhancock Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jhancock Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jhancock Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jhancock Global Climate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jhancock Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Jhancock Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jhancock Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jhancock Global Climate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jhancock Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Jhancock Global Technical Analysis
Jhancock Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jhancock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jhancock Global Climate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jhancock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jhancock Global Predictive Forecast Models
Jhancock Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jhancock Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jhancock Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jhancock Global Climate
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jhancock Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jhancock Global Climate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jhancock Global generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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