John Mattson (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 57.91

JOMA Stock   63.60  2.00  3.25%   
John Mattson's future price is the expected price of John Mattson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out John Mattson Backtesting, John Mattson Valuation, John Mattson Correlation, John Mattson Hype Analysis, John Mattson Volatility, John Mattson History as well as John Mattson Performance.
  
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John Mattson Target Price Odds to finish below 57.91

The tendency of John Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  57.91  or more in 90 days
 63.60 90 days 57.91 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Mattson to drop to  57.91  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen probability density function shows the probability of John Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Mattson Fastigh price to stay between  57.91  and its current price of 63.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon John Mattson has a beta of 0.15. This indicates as returns on the market go up, John Mattson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   John Mattson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for John Mattson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Mattson Fastigh. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60.3761.6062.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.9160.1467.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.5663.7965.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.4363.4868.53
Details

John Mattson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Mattson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Mattson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Mattson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0074
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

John Mattson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Mattson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Mattson Fastigh can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

John Mattson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John Mattson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Mattson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments227.5 M

John Mattson Technical Analysis

John Mattson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Mattson Fastighetsforetagen. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

John Mattson Predictive Forecast Models

John Mattson's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Mattson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Mattson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about John Mattson Fastigh

Checking the ongoing alerts about John Mattson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Mattson Fastigh help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for John Stock Analysis

When running John Mattson's price analysis, check to measure John Mattson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Mattson is operating at the current time. Most of John Mattson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Mattson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Mattson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Mattson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.