Japan Petroleum (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.90
| JP9 Stock | EUR 6.60 0.05 0.75% |
Japan |
Japan Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over 11.90
The tendency of Japan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 11.90 or more in 90 days |
| 6.60 | 90 days | 11.90 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Japan Petroleum to move over € 11.90 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Japan Petroleum Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Japan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Japan Petroleum Expl price to stay between its current price of € 6.60 and € 11.90 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Japan Petroleum has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Japan Petroleum average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Japan Petroleum Exploration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Japan Petroleum Exploration has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Japan Petroleum Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Japan Petroleum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Petroleum Expl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Japan Petroleum Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Japan Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Japan Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Japan Petroleum Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Japan Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0058 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Japan Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Japan Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Japan Petroleum Expl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Japan Petroleum Expl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 249.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (30.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.9 B. | |
| Japan Petroleum Exploration has accumulated about 136.56 B in cash with (1.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Japan Petroleum Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Japan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Japan Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Japan Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.6 M |
Japan Petroleum Technical Analysis
Japan Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Japan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Japan Petroleum Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Japan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Japan Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models
Japan Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many Japan Petroleum's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Japan Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Japan Petroleum Expl
Checking the ongoing alerts about Japan Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Japan Petroleum Expl help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Japan Petroleum Expl has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 249.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (30.99 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 49.9 B. | |
| Japan Petroleum Exploration has accumulated about 136.56 B in cash with (1.05 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Japan Stock
Japan Petroleum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Japan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Japan with respect to the benefits of owning Japan Petroleum security.