J P Morgan Etf Chance of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 51.74
| JPLD Etf | 51.72 0.02 0.04% |
JPLD |
J P Target Price Odds to finish over 51.74
The tendency of JPLD Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 51.74 or more in 90 days |
| 51.72 | 90 days | 51.74 | about 1.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of J P to move over 51.74 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.28 (This J P Morgan probability density function shows the probability of JPLD Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of J P Morgan price to stay between its current price of 51.72 and 51.74 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days J P Morgan has a beta of -0.0051. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding J P are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, J P Morgan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally J P Morgan has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. J P Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for J P
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as J P Morgan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.J P Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. J P is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the J P's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold J P Morgan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of J P within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0006 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0051 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1.2 |
J P Technical Analysis
J P's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPLD Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of J P Morgan. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPLD Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
J P Predictive Forecast Models
J P's time-series forecasting models is one of many J P's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary J P's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards J P in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, J P's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from J P options trading.
Check out J P Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, J P Correlation, J P Hype Analysis, J P Volatility, J P History as well as J P Performance. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
The market value of J P Morgan is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPLD that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of J P's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is J P's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because J P's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect J P's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between J P's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if J P is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, J P's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.