Janus Research Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 78.35

JRANX Fund  USD 86.70  0.74  0.85%   
Janus Research's future price is the expected price of Janus Research instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Janus Research Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Janus Research Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Janus Research Correlation, Janus Research Hype Analysis, Janus Research Volatility, Janus Research History as well as Janus Research Performance.
  
Please specify Janus Research's target price for which you would like Janus Research odds to be computed.

Janus Research Target Price Odds to finish below 78.35

The tendency of Janus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 78.35  or more in 90 days
 86.70 90 days 78.35 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Janus Research to drop to $ 78.35  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Janus Research Fund probability density function shows the probability of Janus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Janus Research price to stay between $ 78.35  and its current price of $86.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Janus Research has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Janus Research average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Janus Research Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Janus Research Fund has an alpha of 0.1516, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Janus Research Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Janus Research

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Janus Research. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.6286.7087.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.6486.7287.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
85.8786.9488.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.9388.5791.20
Details

Janus Research Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Janus Research is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Janus Research's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Janus Research Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Janus Research within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Janus Research Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Janus Research for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Janus Research can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Janus Research Technical Analysis

Janus Research's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Janus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Janus Research Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Janus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Janus Research Predictive Forecast Models

Janus Research's time-series forecasting models is one of many Janus Research's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Janus Research's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Janus Research

Checking the ongoing alerts about Janus Research for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Janus Research help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 99.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Janus Mutual Fund

Janus Research financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janus with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Research security.
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