Journey Energy Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 1.48

JRNGF Stock  USD 1.48  0.05  3.27%   
Journey Energy's future price is the expected price of Journey Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Journey Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Journey Energy Backtesting, Journey Energy Valuation, Journey Energy Correlation, Journey Energy Hype Analysis, Journey Energy Volatility, Journey Energy History as well as Journey Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Journey Energy's target price for which you would like Journey Energy odds to be computed.

Journey Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 1.48

The tendency of Journey OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.48 90 days 1.48 
about 90.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Journey Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 90.53 (This Journey Energy probability density function shows the probability of Journey OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Journey Energy has a beta of 0.59. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Journey Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Journey Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Journey Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Journey Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Journey Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Journey Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.484.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.584.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.514.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.411.501.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Journey Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Journey Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Journey Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Journey Energy.

Journey Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Journey Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Journey Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Journey Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Journey Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Journey Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Journey Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Journey Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Journey Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Journey Energy may become a speculative penny stock

Journey Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Journey OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Journey Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Journey Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.1 M

Journey Energy Technical Analysis

Journey Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Journey OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Journey Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Journey OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Journey Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Journey Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Journey Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Journey Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Journey Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Journey Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Journey Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Journey Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Journey Energy may become a speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Journey OTC Stock

Journey Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Journey OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Journey with respect to the benefits of owning Journey Energy security.