James Alpha Structured Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.19

JSVCX Fund  USD 9.85  0.01  0.10%   
James Alpha's future price is the expected price of James Alpha instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of James Alpha Structured performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out James Alpha Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, James Alpha Correlation, James Alpha Hype Analysis, James Alpha Volatility, James Alpha History as well as James Alpha Performance.
  
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James Alpha Target Price Odds to finish over 10.19

The tendency of James Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.19  or more in 90 days
 9.85 90 days 10.19 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of James Alpha to move over $ 10.19  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This James Alpha Structured probability density function shows the probability of James Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of James Alpha Structured price to stay between its current price of $ 9.85  and $ 10.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon James Alpha has a beta of 0.0157. This indicates as returns on the market go up, James Alpha average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding James Alpha Structured will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally James Alpha Structured has an alpha of 0.0022, implying that it can generate a 0.002179 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   James Alpha Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for James Alpha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as James Alpha Structured. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of James Alpha's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.749.859.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.959.0610.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.759.869.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.809.839.86
Details

James Alpha Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. James Alpha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the James Alpha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold James Alpha Structured, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of James Alpha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.94

James Alpha Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of James Alpha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for James Alpha Structured can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 15.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

James Alpha Technical Analysis

James Alpha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. James Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of James Alpha Structured. In general, you should focus on analyzing James Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

James Alpha Predictive Forecast Models

James Alpha's time-series forecasting models is one of many James Alpha's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary James Alpha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about James Alpha Structured

Checking the ongoing alerts about James Alpha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for James Alpha Structured help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 15.74% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in James Mutual Fund

James Alpha financial ratios help investors to determine whether James Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in James with respect to the benefits of owning James Alpha security.
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