Kingsmen CMTI (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.19

K Stock  THB 1.18  0.01  0.84%   
Kingsmen CMTI's future price is the expected price of Kingsmen CMTI instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kingsmen CMTI Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kingsmen CMTI Backtesting, Kingsmen CMTI Valuation, Kingsmen CMTI Correlation, Kingsmen CMTI Hype Analysis, Kingsmen CMTI Volatility, Kingsmen CMTI History as well as Kingsmen CMTI Performance.
  
Please specify Kingsmen CMTI's target price for which you would like Kingsmen CMTI odds to be computed.

Kingsmen CMTI Target Price Odds to finish over 4.19

The tendency of Kingsmen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.19  or more in 90 days
 1.18 90 days 4.19 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kingsmen CMTI to move over  4.19  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Kingsmen CMTI Public probability density function shows the probability of Kingsmen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kingsmen CMTI Public price to stay between its current price of  1.18  and  4.19  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Kingsmen CMTI has a beta of 0.0937. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kingsmen CMTI average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kingsmen CMTI Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kingsmen CMTI Public has an alpha of 0.0677, implying that it can generate a 0.0677 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kingsmen CMTI Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kingsmen CMTI

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kingsmen CMTI Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.194.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.044.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.174.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.131.301.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kingsmen CMTI. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kingsmen CMTI's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kingsmen CMTI's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kingsmen CMTI Public.

Kingsmen CMTI Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kingsmen CMTI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kingsmen CMTI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kingsmen CMTI Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kingsmen CMTI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.0045

Kingsmen CMTI Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kingsmen CMTI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kingsmen CMTI Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kingsmen CMTI Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kingsmen CMTI Public may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 784.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.91 M.
Kingsmen CMTI Public currently holds about 56.96 M in cash with (50.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.
Roughly 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kingsmen CMTI Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kingsmen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kingsmen CMTI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingsmen CMTI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding600 M

Kingsmen CMTI Technical Analysis

Kingsmen CMTI's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kingsmen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kingsmen CMTI Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kingsmen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kingsmen CMTI Predictive Forecast Models

Kingsmen CMTI's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kingsmen CMTI's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kingsmen CMTI's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kingsmen CMTI Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kingsmen CMTI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kingsmen CMTI Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kingsmen CMTI Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kingsmen CMTI Public may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 784.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.91 M.
Kingsmen CMTI Public currently holds about 56.96 M in cash with (50.81 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26.
Roughly 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kingsmen Stock

Kingsmen CMTI financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kingsmen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kingsmen with respect to the benefits of owning Kingsmen CMTI security.