Kavveri Telecom (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.4
| KAVVERITEL | 40.32 1.92 5.00% |
Kavveri |
Kavveri Telecom Target Price Odds to finish below 38.4
The tendency of Kavveri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 38.40 or more in 90 days |
| 40.32 | 90 days | 38.40 | about 15.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kavveri Telecom to drop to 38.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.76 (This Kavveri Telecom Products probability density function shows the probability of Kavveri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kavveri Telecom Products price to stay between 38.40 and its current price of 40.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kavveri Telecom Products has a beta of -0.67. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kavveri Telecom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kavveri Telecom Products is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kavveri Telecom Products has an alpha of 0.3286, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kavveri Telecom Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Kavveri Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kavveri Telecom Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kavveri Telecom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kavveri Telecom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kavveri Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kavveri Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kavveri Telecom Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kavveri Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Kavveri Telecom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kavveri Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kavveri Telecom Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kavveri Telecom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 15.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.35 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (549.65 M). | |
| Kavveri Telecom Products has accumulated about 2.27 M in cash with (113.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kavveri Telecom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kavveri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kavveri Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kavveri Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.5 M |
Kavveri Telecom Technical Analysis
Kavveri Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kavveri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kavveri Telecom Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kavveri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kavveri Telecom Predictive Forecast Models
Kavveri Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kavveri Telecom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kavveri Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kavveri Telecom Products
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kavveri Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kavveri Telecom Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kavveri Telecom has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 15.86 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.35 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (549.65 M). | |
| Kavveri Telecom Products has accumulated about 2.27 M in cash with (113.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kavveri Stock
Kavveri Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kavveri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kavveri with respect to the benefits of owning Kavveri Telecom security.