Kabelindo Murni (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 301.29

KBLM Stock  IDR 300.00  2.00  0.67%   
Kabelindo Murni's future price is the expected price of Kabelindo Murni instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kabelindo Murni Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kabelindo Murni Backtesting, Kabelindo Murni Valuation, Kabelindo Murni Correlation, Kabelindo Murni Hype Analysis, Kabelindo Murni Volatility, Kabelindo Murni History as well as Kabelindo Murni Performance.
  
Please specify Kabelindo Murni's target price for which you would like Kabelindo Murni odds to be computed.

Kabelindo Murni Target Price Odds to finish over 301.29

The tendency of Kabelindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  301.29  or more in 90 days
 300.00 90 days 301.29 
about 86.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kabelindo Murni to move over  301.29  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.37 (This Kabelindo Murni Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Kabelindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kabelindo Murni Tbk price to stay between its current price of  300.00  and  301.29  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kabelindo Murni Tbk has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kabelindo Murni are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kabelindo Murni Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kabelindo Murni Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kabelindo Murni Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kabelindo Murni

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kabelindo Murni Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
294.39296.00297.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
252.07253.68325.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
294.48296.09297.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
293.00307.00321.00
Details

Kabelindo Murni Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kabelindo Murni is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kabelindo Murni's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kabelindo Murni Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kabelindo Murni within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
8.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Kabelindo Murni Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kabelindo Murni for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kabelindo Murni Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kabelindo Murni Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.21 T. Net Loss for the year was (13 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.85 B.
Kabelindo Murni generates negative cash flow from operations
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kabelindo Murni Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kabelindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kabelindo Murni's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kabelindo Murni's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments62.9 B

Kabelindo Murni Technical Analysis

Kabelindo Murni's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kabelindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kabelindo Murni Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kabelindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kabelindo Murni Predictive Forecast Models

Kabelindo Murni's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kabelindo Murni's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kabelindo Murni's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kabelindo Murni Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kabelindo Murni for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kabelindo Murni Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kabelindo Murni Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.21 T. Net Loss for the year was (13 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.85 B.
Kabelindo Murni generates negative cash flow from operations
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kabelindo Stock

Kabelindo Murni financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kabelindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kabelindo with respect to the benefits of owning Kabelindo Murni security.