Keurig Dr Pepper Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.61
| KDP Stock | USD 32.25 0.12 0.37% |
Keurig |
Keurig Dr Target Price Odds to finish below 31.61
The tendency of Keurig Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.61 or more in 90 days |
| 32.25 | 90 days | 31.61 | about 8.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keurig Dr to drop to $ 31.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 8.85 (This Keurig Dr Pepper probability density function shows the probability of Keurig Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keurig Dr Pepper price to stay between $ 31.61 and its current price of $32.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Keurig Dr has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Keurig Dr average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Keurig Dr Pepper will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Keurig Dr Pepper has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Keurig Dr Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Keurig Dr
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keurig Dr Pepper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keurig Dr's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Keurig Dr Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keurig Dr is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keurig Dr's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keurig Dr Pepper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keurig Dr within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Keurig Dr Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keurig Dr for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keurig Dr Pepper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Keurig Dr Pepper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keurig Dr Pepper has 14.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. Keurig Dr Pepper has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Keurig to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 75.0% of Keurig Dr shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is favoured by institutional owners who hold 73 percent of the company |
Keurig Dr Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keurig Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keurig Dr's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keurig Dr's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267 M |
Keurig Dr Technical Analysis
Keurig Dr's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keurig Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keurig Dr Pepper. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keurig Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Keurig Dr Predictive Forecast Models
Keurig Dr's time-series forecasting models is one of many Keurig Dr's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keurig Dr's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Keurig Dr Pepper
Checking the ongoing alerts about Keurig Dr for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keurig Dr Pepper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Keurig Dr Pepper generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keurig Dr Pepper has 14.82 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.53, which is OK given its current industry classification. Keurig Dr Pepper has a current ratio of 0.59, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Keurig to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 75.0% of Keurig Dr shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is favoured by institutional owners who hold 73 percent of the company |
Additional Tools for Keurig Stock Analysis
When running Keurig Dr's price analysis, check to measure Keurig Dr's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keurig Dr is operating at the current time. Most of Keurig Dr's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keurig Dr's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keurig Dr's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keurig Dr to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.