Mulia Boga (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2051.79
| KEJU Stock | IDR 1,975 30.00 1.54% |
Mulia |
Mulia Boga Target Price Odds to finish below 2051.79
The tendency of Mulia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2,052 after 90 days |
| 1,975 | 90 days | 2,052 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mulia Boga to stay under 2,052 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Mulia Boga Raya probability density function shows the probability of Mulia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mulia Boga Raya price to stay between its current price of 1,975 and 2,052 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mulia Boga Raya has a beta of -0.005. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mulia Boga are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mulia Boga Raya is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mulia Boga Raya has an alpha of 0.6061, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Mulia Boga Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mulia Boga
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mulia Boga Raya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mulia Boga Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mulia Boga is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mulia Boga's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mulia Boga Raya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mulia Boga within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.005 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 126.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Mulia Boga Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mulia Boga for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mulia Boga Raya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mulia Boga Raya is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mulia Boga Raya appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Mulia Boga Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mulia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mulia Boga's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mulia Boga's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 159.5 B |
Mulia Boga Technical Analysis
Mulia Boga's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mulia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mulia Boga Raya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mulia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mulia Boga Predictive Forecast Models
Mulia Boga's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mulia Boga's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mulia Boga's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mulia Boga Raya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mulia Boga for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mulia Boga Raya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mulia Boga Raya is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mulia Boga Raya appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in Mulia Stock
Mulia Boga financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mulia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mulia with respect to the benefits of owning Mulia Boga security.