Flour Mills (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.54
| KEPEN Stock | EUR 2.22 0.18 8.82% |
Flour |
Flour Mills Target Price Odds to finish over 6.54
The tendency of Flour Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 6.54 or more in 90 days |
| 2.22 | 90 days | 6.54 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Flour Mills to move over € 6.54 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Flour Mills Kepenos probability density function shows the probability of Flour Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Flour Mills Kepenos price to stay between its current price of € 2.22 and € 6.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Flour Mills Kepenos has a beta of -0.32. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Flour Mills are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Flour Mills Kepenos is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Flour Mills Kepenos has an alpha of 0.5922, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Flour Mills Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Flour Mills
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flour Mills Kepenos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Flour Mills Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Flour Mills is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Flour Mills' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Flour Mills Kepenos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Flour Mills within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Flour Mills Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Flour Mills for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Flour Mills Kepenos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Flour Mills Kepenos appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Flour Mills Kepenos has accumulated about 1.35 M in cash with (11.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Roughly 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Flour Mills Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Flour Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Flour Mills' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flour Mills' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.05 | |
| Shares Float | 990.7 K |
Flour Mills Technical Analysis
Flour Mills' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Flour Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Flour Mills Kepenos. In general, you should focus on analyzing Flour Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Flour Mills Predictive Forecast Models
Flour Mills' time-series forecasting models is one of many Flour Mills' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Flour Mills' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Flour Mills Kepenos
Checking the ongoing alerts about Flour Mills for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Flour Mills Kepenos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Flour Mills Kepenos appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Flour Mills Kepenos has accumulated about 1.35 M in cash with (11.41 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2. | |
| Roughly 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Flour Stock
Flour Mills financial ratios help investors to determine whether Flour Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Flour with respect to the benefits of owning Flour Mills security.