Kennedy Capital Esg Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.02

KESGX Fund  USD 16.02  0.12  0.75%   
Kennedy Capital's future price is the expected price of Kennedy Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kennedy Capital Esg performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kennedy Capital Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Kennedy Capital Correlation, Kennedy Capital Hype Analysis, Kennedy Capital Volatility, Kennedy Capital History as well as Kennedy Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Kennedy Capital's target price for which you would like Kennedy Capital odds to be computed.

Kennedy Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 16.02

The tendency of Kennedy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 16.02 90 days 16.02 
about 17.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kennedy Capital to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 17.85 (This Kennedy Capital Esg probability density function shows the probability of Kennedy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kennedy Capital will likely underperform. Additionally Kennedy Capital Esg has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kennedy Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kennedy Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kennedy Capital Esg. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.9516.0217.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.0816.1517.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.4915.5616.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.0216.8317.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kennedy Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kennedy Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kennedy Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kennedy Capital Esg.

Kennedy Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kennedy Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kennedy Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kennedy Capital Esg, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kennedy Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Kennedy Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kennedy Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kennedy Capital Esg can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kennedy Capital Esg generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mutual fund conversions hit record in ETF industrys epic year - Fortune
The fund maintains 96.28% of its assets in stocks

Kennedy Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kennedy Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kennedy Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kennedy Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Kennedy Capital Technical Analysis

Kennedy Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kennedy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kennedy Capital Esg. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kennedy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kennedy Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Kennedy Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kennedy Capital's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kennedy Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kennedy Capital Esg

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kennedy Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kennedy Capital Esg help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kennedy Capital Esg generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Mutual fund conversions hit record in ETF industrys epic year - Fortune
The fund maintains 96.28% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Kennedy Mutual Fund

Kennedy Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kennedy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kennedy with respect to the benefits of owning Kennedy Capital security.
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