Korea Closed Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 19.65

KF Fund  USD 19.65  0.50  2.48%   
Korea Closed's future price is the expected price of Korea Closed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Korea Closed performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Korea Closed Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Korea Closed Correlation, Korea Closed Hype Analysis, Korea Closed Volatility, Korea Closed History as well as Korea Closed Performance.
  
Please specify Korea Closed's target price for which you would like Korea Closed odds to be computed.

Korea Closed Target Price Odds to finish below 19.65

The tendency of Korea Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 19.65 90 days 19.65 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Korea Closed to move below current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Korea Closed probability density function shows the probability of Korea Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Korea Closed has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Korea Closed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Korea Closed will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Korea Closed has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Korea Closed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Korea Closed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Korea Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2919.6721.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.7920.1721.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9120.2921.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8920.2420.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Korea Closed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Korea Closed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Korea Closed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Korea Closed.

Korea Closed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Korea Closed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Korea Closed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Korea Closed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Korea Closed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

Korea Closed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Korea Closed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Korea Closed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Missouri state pension board bans use of fund for political donations - Missouri Independent
The fund produced three year return of -10.0%

Korea Closed Technical Analysis

Korea Closed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Korea Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Korea Closed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Korea Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Korea Closed Predictive Forecast Models

Korea Closed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Korea Closed's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Korea Closed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Korea Closed

Checking the ongoing alerts about Korea Closed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Korea Closed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Korea Closed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Missouri state pension board bans use of fund for political donations - Missouri Independent
The fund produced three year return of -10.0%

Other Information on Investing in Korea Fund

Korea Closed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Korea Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Korea with respect to the benefits of owning Korea Closed security.
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