Kiattana Transport (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0
| KIAT Stock | THB 0.33 0.01 3.13% |
Kiattana |
Kiattana Transport Target Price Odds to finish below 0
The tendency of Kiattana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.00 or more in 90 days |
| 0.33 | 90 days | 0.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kiattana Transport to drop to 0.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kiattana Transport Public probability density function shows the probability of Kiattana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kiattana Transport Public price to stay between 0.00 and its current price of 0.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kiattana Transport has a beta of 0.62. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kiattana Transport average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kiattana Transport Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kiattana Transport Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kiattana Transport Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kiattana Transport
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kiattana Transport Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kiattana Transport Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kiattana Transport is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kiattana Transport's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kiattana Transport Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kiattana Transport within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Kiattana Transport Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kiattana Transport for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kiattana Transport Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kiattana Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kiattana Transport has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kiattana Transport Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kiattana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kiattana Transport's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kiattana Transport's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 B |
Kiattana Transport Technical Analysis
Kiattana Transport's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kiattana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kiattana Transport Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kiattana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kiattana Transport Predictive Forecast Models
Kiattana Transport's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kiattana Transport's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kiattana Transport's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kiattana Transport Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kiattana Transport for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kiattana Transport Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kiattana Transport generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kiattana Transport has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kiattana Stock
Kiattana Transport financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kiattana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kiattana with respect to the benefits of owning Kiattana Transport security.