Krida Jaringan (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 74.38
| KJEN Stock | 72.00 5.00 7.46% |
Krida |
Krida Jaringan Target Price Odds to finish over 74.38
The tendency of Krida Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 74.38 or more in 90 days |
| 72.00 | 90 days | 74.38 | about 43.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Krida Jaringan to move over 74.38 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.65 (This Krida Jaringan Nusantara probability density function shows the probability of Krida Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Krida Jaringan Nusantara price to stay between its current price of 72.00 and 74.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Krida Jaringan has a beta of 0.28. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Krida Jaringan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Krida Jaringan Nusantara will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Krida Jaringan Nusantara has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Krida Jaringan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Krida Jaringan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Krida Jaringan Nusantara. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Krida Jaringan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Krida Jaringan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Krida Jaringan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Krida Jaringan Nusantara, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Krida Jaringan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Krida Jaringan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Krida Jaringan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Krida Jaringan Nusantara can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Krida Jaringan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.84 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.48 B. | |
| Krida Jaringan Nusantara has accumulated about 331.14 M in cash with (1.15 B) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Krida Jaringan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Krida Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Krida Jaringan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Krida Jaringan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 500 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 331.1 M |
Krida Jaringan Technical Analysis
Krida Jaringan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Krida Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Krida Jaringan Nusantara. In general, you should focus on analyzing Krida Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Krida Jaringan Predictive Forecast Models
Krida Jaringan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Krida Jaringan's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Krida Jaringan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Krida Jaringan Nusantara
Checking the ongoing alerts about Krida Jaringan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Krida Jaringan Nusantara help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Krida Jaringan generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.84 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.48 B. | |
| Krida Jaringan Nusantara has accumulated about 331.14 M in cash with (1.15 B) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Krida Stock
Krida Jaringan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Krida Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Krida with respect to the benefits of owning Krida Jaringan security.