Pelayaran Kurnia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 62.43
| KLAS Stock | 103.00 6.00 5.50% |
Pelayaran |
Pelayaran Kurnia Target Price Odds to finish over 62.43
The tendency of Pelayaran Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 62.43 in 90 days |
| 103.00 | 90 days | 62.43 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pelayaran Kurnia to stay above 62.43 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan probability density function shows the probability of Pelayaran Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan price to stay between 62.43 and its current price of 103.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan has a beta of -0.65. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pelayaran Kurnia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan has an alpha of 0.0988, implying that it can generate a 0.0988 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pelayaran Kurnia Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Pelayaran Kurnia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pelayaran Kurnia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pelayaran Kurnia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pelayaran Kurnia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pelayaran Kurnia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 21.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Pelayaran Kurnia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pelayaran Kurnia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pelayaran Kurnia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pelayaran Kurnia has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Pelayaran Kurnia Technical Analysis
Pelayaran Kurnia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pelayaran Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pelayaran Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pelayaran Kurnia Predictive Forecast Models
Pelayaran Kurnia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pelayaran Kurnia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pelayaran Kurnia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pelayaran Kurnia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pelayaran Kurnia Lautan help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pelayaran Kurnia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pelayaran Kurnia has high historical volatility and very poor performance |