Knafaim (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,093

KNFM Stock  ILS 1,373  13.00  0.96%   
Knafaim's future price is the expected price of Knafaim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Knafaim performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Knafaim Backtesting, Knafaim Valuation, Knafaim Correlation, Knafaim Hype Analysis, Knafaim Volatility, Knafaim History as well as Knafaim Performance.
  
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Knafaim Target Price Odds to finish below 1,093

The tendency of Knafaim Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,373 90 days 1,373 
about 88.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Knafaim to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 88.08 (This Knafaim probability density function shows the probability of Knafaim Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Knafaim has a beta of -0.38. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Knafaim are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Knafaim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Knafaim has an alpha of 0.482, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Knafaim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Knafaim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knafaim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3711,3731,375
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0871,0891,510
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4431,4451,447
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,2811,3431,405
Details

Knafaim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Knafaim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Knafaim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Knafaim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Knafaim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
128.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Knafaim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Knafaim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Knafaim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Knafaim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Knafaim has accumulated 145.84 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 692.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Knafaim has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Knafaim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Knafaim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Knafaim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Knafaim to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Knafaim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 28.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.81 M.
About 53.0% of Knafaim outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Knafaim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Knafaim Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Knafaim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knafaim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding16.3 M

Knafaim Technical Analysis

Knafaim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Knafaim Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Knafaim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Knafaim Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Knafaim Predictive Forecast Models

Knafaim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Knafaim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Knafaim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Knafaim

Checking the ongoing alerts about Knafaim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Knafaim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Knafaim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Knafaim has accumulated 145.84 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 692.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Knafaim has a current ratio of 0.44, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Knafaim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Knafaim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Knafaim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Knafaim to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Knafaim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 28.03 M. Net Loss for the year was (33.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.81 M.
About 53.0% of Knafaim outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Knafaim Stock

Knafaim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Knafaim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Knafaim with respect to the benefits of owning Knafaim security.