Kinea Oportunidades (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 80.97
| KORE11 Fund | 75.55 0.60 0.79% |
Kinea |
Kinea Oportunidades Target Price Odds to finish below 80.97
The tendency of Kinea Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 80.97 after 90 days |
| 75.55 | 90 days | 80.97 | about 18.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinea Oportunidades to stay under 80.97 after 90 days from now is about 18.07 (This Kinea Oportunidades Real probability density function shows the probability of Kinea Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinea Oportunidades Real price to stay between its current price of 75.55 and 80.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinea Oportunidades Real has a beta of -0.42. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kinea Oportunidades are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kinea Oportunidades Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kinea Oportunidades Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kinea Oportunidades Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kinea Oportunidades
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinea Oportunidades Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kinea Oportunidades Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinea Oportunidades is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinea Oportunidades' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinea Oportunidades Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinea Oportunidades within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Kinea Oportunidades Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kinea Oportunidades for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kinea Oportunidades Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kinea Oportunidades generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Kinea Oportunidades Technical Analysis
Kinea Oportunidades' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinea Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinea Oportunidades Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinea Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kinea Oportunidades Predictive Forecast Models
Kinea Oportunidades' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinea Oportunidades' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinea Oportunidades' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kinea Oportunidades Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinea Oportunidades for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kinea Oportunidades Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kinea Oportunidades generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
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