Kotak Mahindra (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1758.61
| KOTAKBANK | 1,749 7.00 0.40% |
Kotak |
Kotak Mahindra Target Price Odds to finish below 1758.61
The tendency of Kotak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,759 after 90 days |
| 1,749 | 90 days | 1,759 | about 27.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kotak Mahindra to stay under 1,759 after 90 days from now is about 27.35 (This Kotak Mahindra Bank probability density function shows the probability of Kotak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kotak Mahindra Bank price to stay between its current price of 1,749 and 1,759 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kotak Mahindra has a beta of 0.2. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kotak Mahindra average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kotak Mahindra Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kotak Mahindra Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kotak Mahindra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kotak Mahindra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kotak Mahindra Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kotak Mahindra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kotak Mahindra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kotak Mahindra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kotak Mahindra Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kotak Mahindra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 60.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Kotak Mahindra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kotak Mahindra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kotak Mahindra Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kotak Mahindra Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hdfc Bank Share Price Highlights Hdfc Bank closed today at 1858.95, down -0.25 percent from yesterdays 1863.7 Stock Market News - Mint |
Kotak Mahindra Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kotak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kotak Mahindra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kotak Mahindra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 652.1 B |
Kotak Mahindra Technical Analysis
Kotak Mahindra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kotak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kotak Mahindra Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kotak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kotak Mahindra Predictive Forecast Models
Kotak Mahindra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kotak Mahindra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kotak Mahindra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kotak Mahindra Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kotak Mahindra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kotak Mahindra Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kotak Mahindra Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Hdfc Bank Share Price Highlights Hdfc Bank closed today at 1858.95, down -0.25 percent from yesterdays 1863.7 Stock Market News - Mint |
Other Information on Investing in Kotak Stock
Kotak Mahindra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kotak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kotak with respect to the benefits of owning Kotak Mahindra security.