Keros Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.04
| KROS Stock | USD 18.85 0.00 0.00% |
Keros |
Keros Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish below 6.04
The tendency of Keros Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.04 or more in 90 days |
| 18.85 | 90 days | 6.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Keros Therapeutics to drop to $ 6.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Keros Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Keros Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Keros Therapeutics price to stay between $ 6.04 and its current price of $18.85 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.11 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Keros Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Keros Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Keros Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Keros Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keros Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Keros Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Keros Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Keros Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Keros Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Keros Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Keros Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Keros Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Keros Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Keros Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keros Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 151 K. Net Loss for the year was (152.99 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (87.27 M). | |
| Keros Therapeutics currently holds about 215.62 M in cash with (124.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.37. | |
| Keros Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Keros Therapeutics Loses 75 percent Value In A Single Session - Heres Why |
Keros Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Keros Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Keros Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Keros Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 331.1 M |
Keros Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Keros Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Keros Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Keros Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Keros Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Keros Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Keros Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Keros Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Keros Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Keros Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Keros Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Keros Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Keros Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Keros Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 151 K. Net Loss for the year was (152.99 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (87.27 M). | |
| Keros Therapeutics currently holds about 215.62 M in cash with (124.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.37. | |
| Keros Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Keros Therapeutics Loses 75 percent Value In A Single Session - Heres Why |
Additional Tools for Keros Stock Analysis
When running Keros Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Keros Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Keros Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Keros Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Keros Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Keros Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Keros Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.