Karat Packaging Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 26.45
| KRT Stock | USD 30.03 0.68 2.21% |
Karat |
Karat Packaging Target Price Odds to finish below 26.45
The tendency of Karat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 26.45 or more in 90 days |
| 30.03 | 90 days | 26.45 | about 20.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Karat Packaging to drop to $ 26.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 20.0 (This Karat Packaging probability density function shows the probability of Karat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Karat Packaging price to stay between $ 26.45 and its current price of $30.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.23 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Karat Packaging has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Karat Packaging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Karat Packaging will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Karat Packaging has an alpha of 0.2624, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Karat Packaging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Karat Packaging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Karat Packaging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Karat Packaging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Karat Packaging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Karat Packaging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Karat Packaging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Karat Packaging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Karat Packaging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Karat Packaging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Karat Packaging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Karat Packaging is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Karat Packaging has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Alan Yu of 8000 shares of Karat Packaging subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Karat Packaging Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Karat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Karat Packaging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Karat Packaging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49.4 M |
Karat Packaging Technical Analysis
Karat Packaging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Karat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Karat Packaging. In general, you should focus on analyzing Karat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Karat Packaging Predictive Forecast Models
Karat Packaging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Karat Packaging's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Karat Packaging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Karat Packaging
Checking the ongoing alerts about Karat Packaging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Karat Packaging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Karat Packaging is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Karat Packaging has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Alan Yu of 8000 shares of Karat Packaging subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Additional Tools for Karat Stock Analysis
When running Karat Packaging's price analysis, check to measure Karat Packaging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Karat Packaging is operating at the current time. Most of Karat Packaging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Karat Packaging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Karat Packaging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Karat Packaging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.