Joint Stock Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 128.0
| KSPI Stock | 108.91 1.46 1.32% |
Joint |
Joint Stock Target Price Odds to finish over 128.0
The tendency of Joint Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 128.00 or more in 90 days |
| 108.91 | 90 days | 128.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Joint Stock to move over 128.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Joint Stock probability density function shows the probability of Joint Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Joint Stock price to stay between its current price of 108.91 and 128.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.29 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Joint Stock has a beta of 0.45. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Joint Stock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Joint Stock will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Joint Stock has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Joint Stock Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Joint Stock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Joint Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Joint Stock Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Joint Stock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Joint Stock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Joint Stock, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Joint Stock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Joint Stock Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Joint Stock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Joint Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Joint Stock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Joint Stock has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz Announcement If You Have Suffered Losses in Joint Stock Company ... |
Joint Stock Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Joint Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Joint Stock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Joint Stock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 192.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 T |
Joint Stock Technical Analysis
Joint Stock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Joint Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Joint Stock. In general, you should focus on analyzing Joint Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Joint Stock Predictive Forecast Models
Joint Stock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Joint Stock's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Joint Stock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Joint Stock
Checking the ongoing alerts about Joint Stock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Joint Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Joint Stock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Joint Stock has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz Announcement If You Have Suffered Losses in Joint Stock Company ... |
Check out Joint Stock Backtesting, Joint Stock Valuation, Joint Stock Correlation, Joint Stock Hype Analysis, Joint Stock Volatility, Joint Stock History as well as Joint Stock Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Joint Stock please use our How to Invest in Joint Stock guide.You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Joint Stock. If investors know Joint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Joint Stock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | Dividend Share 3.4 K | Earnings Share 9.65 | Revenue Per Share 12.5 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.293 |
The market value of Joint Stock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Joint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Joint Stock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Joint Stock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Joint Stock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Joint Stock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Joint Stock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Joint Stock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Joint Stock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.