Krungdhep Sophon (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 304.59

KWC Stock  THB 310.00  0.00  0.00%   
Krungdhep Sophon's future price is the expected price of Krungdhep Sophon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Krungdhep Sophon Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Krungdhep Sophon Backtesting, Krungdhep Sophon Valuation, Krungdhep Sophon Correlation, Krungdhep Sophon Hype Analysis, Krungdhep Sophon Volatility, Krungdhep Sophon History as well as Krungdhep Sophon Performance.
  
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Krungdhep Sophon Target Price Odds to finish below 304.59

The tendency of Krungdhep Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  304.59  or more in 90 days
 310.00 90 days 304.59 
about 30.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Krungdhep Sophon to drop to  304.59  or more in 90 days from now is about 30.28 (This Krungdhep Sophon Public probability density function shows the probability of Krungdhep Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Krungdhep Sophon Public price to stay between  304.59  and its current price of 310.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Krungdhep Sophon has a beta of 0.75. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Krungdhep Sophon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Krungdhep Sophon Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Krungdhep Sophon Public has an alpha of 0.2345, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Krungdhep Sophon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Krungdhep Sophon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Krungdhep Sophon Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
304.59310.00315.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
258.98264.39341.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
335.26340.67346.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
269.04323.03377.02
Details

Krungdhep Sophon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Krungdhep Sophon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Krungdhep Sophon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Krungdhep Sophon Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Krungdhep Sophon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
28.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Krungdhep Sophon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Krungdhep Sophon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Krungdhep Sophon Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Krungdhep Sophon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Krungdhep Sophon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Krungdhep Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Krungdhep Sophon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Krungdhep Sophon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM

Krungdhep Sophon Technical Analysis

Krungdhep Sophon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Krungdhep Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Krungdhep Sophon Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Krungdhep Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Krungdhep Sophon Predictive Forecast Models

Krungdhep Sophon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Krungdhep Sophon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Krungdhep Sophon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Krungdhep Sophon Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Krungdhep Sophon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Krungdhep Sophon Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Krungdhep Sophon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Krungdhep Stock

Krungdhep Sophon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Krungdhep Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Krungdhep with respect to the benefits of owning Krungdhep Sophon security.