Construction (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38920.0

L18 Stock   40,200  300.00  0.75%   
Construction's future price is the expected price of Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Construction And Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Construction Backtesting, Construction Valuation, Construction Correlation, Construction Hype Analysis, Construction Volatility, Construction History as well as Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Construction's target price for which you would like Construction odds to be computed.

Construction Target Price Odds to finish over 38920.0

The tendency of Construction Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  38,920  in 90 days
 40,200 90 days 38,920 
about 10.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Construction to stay above  38,920  in 90 days from now is about 10.75 (This Construction And Investment probability density function shows the probability of Construction Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Construction And Inv price to stay between  38,920  and its current price of 40200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Construction And Investment has a beta of -0.0412. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Construction And Investment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Construction And Investment has an alpha of 0.2249, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Construction And Inv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40,19840,20040,202
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31,32531,32744,220
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41,17841,17941,181
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37,69739,00740,317
Details

Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Construction And Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1,814
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Construction Technical Analysis

Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Construction Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Construction And Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Construction Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Construction in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Construction's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Construction options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Construction Stock

Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Construction Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Construction with respect to the benefits of owning Construction security.