Lacroix Group (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.83
| LACR Stock | EUR 9.96 0.38 3.97% |
Lacroix |
Lacroix Group Target Price Odds to finish below 10.83
The tendency of Lacroix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 10.83 after 90 days |
| 9.96 | 90 days | 10.83 | about 15.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lacroix Group to stay under € 10.83 after 90 days from now is about 15.97 (This Lacroix Group SA probability density function shows the probability of Lacroix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lacroix Group SA price to stay between its current price of € 9.96 and € 10.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lacroix Group has a beta of 0.28. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lacroix Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lacroix Group SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lacroix Group SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lacroix Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lacroix Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lacroix Group SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lacroix Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lacroix Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lacroix Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lacroix Group SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lacroix Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.43 |
Lacroix Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lacroix Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lacroix Group SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lacroix Group SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €84.28 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Lacroix Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lacroix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lacroix Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lacroix Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.4 M |
Lacroix Group Technical Analysis
Lacroix Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lacroix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lacroix Group SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lacroix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lacroix Group Predictive Forecast Models
Lacroix Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lacroix Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lacroix Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lacroix Group SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lacroix Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lacroix Group SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lacroix Group SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has €84.28 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Lacroix Stock
Lacroix Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lacroix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lacroix with respect to the benefits of owning Lacroix Group security.