Ladder Capital Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.35
| LADR Stock | USD 11.41 0.21 1.88% |
Ladder |
Ladder Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 11.35
The tendency of Ladder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.35 or more in 90 days |
| 11.41 | 90 days | 11.35 | about 27.08 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ladder Capital to drop to $ 11.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.08 (This Ladder Capital Corp probability density function shows the probability of Ladder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ladder Capital Corp price to stay between $ 11.35 and its current price of $11.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ladder Capital has a beta of 0.82. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Ladder Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ladder Capital Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ladder Capital Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ladder Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ladder Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ladder Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ladder Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ladder Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ladder Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ladder Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ladder Capital Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ladder Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Ladder Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ladder Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ladder Capital Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ladder Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ladder Capital Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: iShares iBonds 1-5 Year High Yield and Income Ladder declares distribution of 0.1435 |
Ladder Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ladder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ladder Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ladder Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Ladder Capital Technical Analysis
Ladder Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ladder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ladder Capital Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ladder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ladder Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Ladder Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ladder Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ladder Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ladder Capital Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ladder Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ladder Capital Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ladder Capital Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ladder Capital Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: iShares iBonds 1-5 Year High Yield and Income Ladder declares distribution of 0.1435 |
Additional Tools for Ladder Stock Analysis
When running Ladder Capital's price analysis, check to measure Ladder Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ladder Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Ladder Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ladder Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ladder Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ladder Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.