Lasa Supergenerics (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 19.91

LASA Stock   26.58  1.26  4.53%   
Lasa Supergenerics' future price is the expected price of Lasa Supergenerics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lasa Supergenerics Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lasa Supergenerics Backtesting, Lasa Supergenerics Valuation, Lasa Supergenerics Correlation, Lasa Supergenerics Hype Analysis, Lasa Supergenerics Volatility, Lasa Supergenerics History as well as Lasa Supergenerics Performance.
  
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Lasa Supergenerics Target Price Odds to finish below 19.91

The tendency of Lasa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  19.91  or more in 90 days
 26.58 90 days 19.91 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lasa Supergenerics to drop to  19.91  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lasa Supergenerics Limited probability density function shows the probability of Lasa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lasa Supergenerics price to stay between  19.91  and its current price of 26.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lasa Supergenerics has a beta of 0.77. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lasa Supergenerics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lasa Supergenerics Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lasa Supergenerics Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lasa Supergenerics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lasa Supergenerics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lasa Supergenerics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9126.5829.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.9122.5829.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.2428.9131.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.2125.9328.65
Details

Lasa Supergenerics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lasa Supergenerics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lasa Supergenerics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lasa Supergenerics Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lasa Supergenerics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.77
σ
Overall volatility
1.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Lasa Supergenerics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lasa Supergenerics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lasa Supergenerics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lasa Supergenerics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (217.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 220.46 M.
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lasa Supergenerics Ltd. Secures Financial Future with Creditor Settlement - Devdiscourse

Lasa Supergenerics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lasa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lasa Supergenerics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lasa Supergenerics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments15 M

Lasa Supergenerics Technical Analysis

Lasa Supergenerics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lasa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lasa Supergenerics Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lasa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lasa Supergenerics Predictive Forecast Models

Lasa Supergenerics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lasa Supergenerics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lasa Supergenerics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lasa Supergenerics

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lasa Supergenerics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lasa Supergenerics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lasa Supergenerics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 1.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (217.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 220.46 M.
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Lasa Supergenerics Ltd. Secures Financial Future with Creditor Settlement - Devdiscourse

Additional Tools for Lasa Stock Analysis

When running Lasa Supergenerics' price analysis, check to measure Lasa Supergenerics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lasa Supergenerics is operating at the current time. Most of Lasa Supergenerics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lasa Supergenerics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lasa Supergenerics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lasa Supergenerics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.