Laan Spar (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 668.58

LASP Stock  DKK 680.00  5.00  0.74%   
Laan Spar's future price is the expected price of Laan Spar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Laan Spar Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Laan Spar Backtesting, Laan Spar Valuation, Laan Spar Correlation, Laan Spar Hype Analysis, Laan Spar Volatility, Laan Spar History as well as Laan Spar Performance.
  
Please specify Laan Spar's target price for which you would like Laan Spar odds to be computed.

Laan Spar Target Price Odds to finish below 668.58

The tendency of Laan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 668.58  or more in 90 days
 680.00 90 days 668.58 
about 29.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Laan Spar to drop to kr 668.58  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.71 (This Laan Spar Bank probability density function shows the probability of Laan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Laan Spar Bank price to stay between kr 668.58  and its current price of kr680.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Laan Spar has a beta of 0.31. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Laan Spar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Laan Spar Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Laan Spar Bank has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Laan Spar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Laan Spar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laan Spar Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
678.56680.00681.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
673.56675.00748.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
684.70686.14687.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
645.52676.81708.09
Details

Laan Spar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Laan Spar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Laan Spar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Laan Spar Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Laan Spar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
12.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Laan Spar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Laan Spar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Laan Spar Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Laan Spar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Laan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Laan Spar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Laan Spar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.5 M

Laan Spar Technical Analysis

Laan Spar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Laan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Laan Spar Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Laan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Laan Spar Predictive Forecast Models

Laan Spar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Laan Spar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Laan Spar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Laan Spar Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Laan Spar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Laan Spar Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Laan Stock

Laan Spar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Laan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Laan with respect to the benefits of owning Laan Spar security.