Liberty Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.0E-4
| LBYE Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Liberty |
Liberty Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 1.0E-4
The tendency of Liberty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.0001 | about 54.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.88 (This Liberty Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Liberty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Liberty Energy has a beta of 0.61. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Liberty Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Liberty Energy Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. In addition to that Liberty Energy Corp has an alpha of 66.6349, implying that it can generate a 66.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liberty Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Liberty Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Liberty Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 66.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0006 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Liberty Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liberty Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liberty Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Liberty Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Liberty Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Liberty Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Liberty Energy Corp currently holds 20.32 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.03, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Liberty Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Liberty Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 10.59 K. Net Loss for the year was (642.11 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.59 K. | |
| Liberty Energy Corp currently holds about 59 in cash with (44.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Liberty Energy Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell Christopher Wright Sells 32,000 Shares of Liberty Energy Inc |
Liberty Energy Technical Analysis
Liberty Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liberty Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Liberty Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Liberty Energy Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Liberty Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Liberty Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Liberty Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Liberty Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Liberty Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Liberty Energy Corp currently holds 20.32 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.03, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Liberty Energy Corp has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Liberty Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 10.59 K. Net Loss for the year was (642.11 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.59 K. | |
| Liberty Energy Corp currently holds about 59 in cash with (44.34 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Liberty Energy Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell Christopher Wright Sells 32,000 Shares of Liberty Energy Inc |
Check out Liberty Energy Backtesting, Liberty Energy Valuation, Liberty Energy Correlation, Liberty Energy Hype Analysis, Liberty Energy Volatility, Liberty Energy History as well as Liberty Energy Performance. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Energy. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Assets (0.90) |
The market value of Liberty Energy Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.