Leader Total Return Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.41
| LCTRX Fund | USD 11.13 0.01 0.09% |
Leader |
Leader Total Target Price Odds to finish over 11.41
The tendency of Leader Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.41 or more in 90 days |
| 11.13 | 90 days | 11.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leader Total to move over $ 11.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Leader Total Return probability density function shows the probability of Leader Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leader Total Return price to stay between its current price of $ 11.13 and $ 11.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Leader Total Return has a beta of -0.0123. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Leader Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Leader Total Return is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Leader Total Return has an alpha of 0.0026, implying that it can generate a 0.002624 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Leader Total Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Leader Total
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leader Total Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Leader Total Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leader Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leader Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leader Total Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leader Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Leader Total Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leader Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leader Total Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund maintains about 16.87% of its assets in cash |
Leader Total Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leader Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leader Total's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leader Total's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Leader Total Technical Analysis
Leader Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leader Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leader Total Return. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leader Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leader Total Predictive Forecast Models
Leader Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Leader Total's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leader Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leader Total Return
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leader Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leader Total Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund maintains about 16.87% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Leader Mutual Fund
Leader Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leader Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leader with respect to the benefits of owning Leader Total security.
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