Legacy Education Alliance Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.14

LEAI Stock  USD 0.0006  0.00  0.00%   
Legacy Education's future price is the expected price of Legacy Education instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Legacy Education Alliance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Legacy Education Backtesting, Legacy Education Valuation, Legacy Education Correlation, Legacy Education Hype Analysis, Legacy Education Volatility, Legacy Education History as well as Legacy Education Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Legacy Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Legacy Education guide.
  
Please specify Legacy Education's target price for which you would like Legacy Education odds to be computed.

Legacy Education Target Price Odds to finish over 0.14

The tendency of Legacy Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.14  or more in 90 days
 0.0006 90 days 0.14 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Legacy Education to move over $ 0.14  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Legacy Education Alliance probability density function shows the probability of Legacy Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Legacy Education Alliance price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0006  and $ 0.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Legacy Education has a beta of 0.22. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Legacy Education average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Legacy Education Alliance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Legacy Education Alliance has an alpha of 0.2652, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Legacy Education Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Legacy Education

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Legacy Education Alliance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.202.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.082.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000120.00062.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00060.00060.0006
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Legacy Education. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Legacy Education's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Legacy Education's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Legacy Education Alliance.

Legacy Education Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Legacy Education is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Legacy Education's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Legacy Education Alliance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Legacy Education within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.000039
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Legacy Education Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Legacy Education for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Legacy Education Alliance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Legacy Education has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Legacy Education has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Legacy Education Alliance currently holds 1.93 M in liabilities. Legacy Education Alliance has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Legacy Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Legacy Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Legacy Education Alliance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Legacy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Legacy Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 7.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (566 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.42 M.
Legacy Education Alliance currently holds about 20 K in cash with (4.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Legacy Education Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Legacy Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Legacy Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Legacy Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.9 M

Legacy Education Technical Analysis

Legacy Education's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Legacy Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Legacy Education Alliance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Legacy Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Legacy Education Predictive Forecast Models

Legacy Education's time-series forecasting models is one of many Legacy Education's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Legacy Education's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Legacy Education Alliance

Checking the ongoing alerts about Legacy Education for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Legacy Education Alliance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Legacy Education has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Legacy Education has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Legacy Education Alliance currently holds 1.93 M in liabilities. Legacy Education Alliance has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Legacy Education until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Legacy Education's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Legacy Education Alliance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Legacy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Legacy Education's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 7.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (566 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.42 M.
Legacy Education Alliance currently holds about 20 K in cash with (4.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Legacy Pink Sheet

Legacy Education financial ratios help investors to determine whether Legacy Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Legacy with respect to the benefits of owning Legacy Education security.