Lemon Tree (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 157.53
| LEMONTREE | 151.55 1.79 1.17% |
Lemon |
Lemon Tree Target Price Odds to finish below 157.53
The tendency of Lemon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 157.53 after 90 days |
| 151.55 | 90 days | 157.53 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lemon Tree to stay under 157.53 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lemon Tree Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Lemon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lemon Tree Hotels price to stay between its current price of 151.55 and 157.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lemon Tree has a beta of 0.35. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lemon Tree average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lemon Tree Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lemon Tree Hotels has an alpha of 0.2732, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lemon Tree Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lemon Tree
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lemon Tree Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lemon Tree Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lemon Tree is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lemon Tree's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lemon Tree Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lemon Tree within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Lemon Tree Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lemon Tree for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lemon Tree Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lemon Tree Hotels Share Price Highlights Lemon Tree Hotels closed today at 153.7, down -2.51 percent from yesterdays 157.65 Stock Market News - Mint |
Lemon Tree Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lemon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lemon Tree's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lemon Tree's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 791.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 620.7 M |
Lemon Tree Technical Analysis
Lemon Tree's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lemon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lemon Tree Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lemon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lemon Tree Predictive Forecast Models
Lemon Tree's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lemon Tree's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lemon Tree's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lemon Tree Hotels
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lemon Tree for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lemon Tree Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lemon Tree Hotels Share Price Highlights Lemon Tree Hotels closed today at 153.7, down -2.51 percent from yesterdays 157.65 Stock Market News - Mint |
Additional Tools for Lemon Stock Analysis
When running Lemon Tree's price analysis, check to measure Lemon Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lemon Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Lemon Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lemon Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lemon Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lemon Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.