Leonteq AG (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 24.50
| LEON Stock | CHF 19.96 0.94 4.50% |
Leonteq |
Leonteq AG Target Price Odds to finish over 24.50
The tendency of Leonteq Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over ₣ 24.50 or more in 90 days |
| 19.96 | 90 days | 24.50 | about 68.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leonteq AG to move over ₣ 24.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.74 (This Leonteq AG probability density function shows the probability of Leonteq Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leonteq AG price to stay between its current price of ₣ 19.96 and ₣ 24.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Leonteq AG has a beta of -0.22. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Leonteq AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Leonteq AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Leonteq AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Leonteq AG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Leonteq AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leonteq AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Leonteq AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leonteq AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leonteq AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leonteq AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leonteq AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Leonteq AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leonteq AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leonteq AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Leonteq AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Leonteq AG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leonteq Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leonteq AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leonteq AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 18.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 51.5 M |
Leonteq AG Technical Analysis
Leonteq AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leonteq Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leonteq AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leonteq Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leonteq AG Predictive Forecast Models
Leonteq AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Leonteq AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leonteq AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leonteq AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leonteq AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leonteq AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Leonteq AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Leonteq Stock Analysis
When running Leonteq AG's price analysis, check to measure Leonteq AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leonteq AG is operating at the current time. Most of Leonteq AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leonteq AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leonteq AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leonteq AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.