Lions Gate Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.11
| LGF-B Stock | USD 7.28 0.28 4.00% |
Lions |
Lions Gate Target Price Odds to finish below 7.11
The tendency of Lions Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.11 or more in 90 days |
| 7.28 | 90 days | 7.11 | about 71.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lions Gate to drop to $ 7.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.29 (This Lions Gate Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Lions Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lions Gate Entertainment price to stay between $ 7.11 and its current price of $7.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lions Gate has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lions Gate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lions Gate Entertainment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lions Gate Entertainment has an alpha of 0.1219, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lions Gate Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lions Gate
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lions Gate Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lions Gate Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lions Gate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lions Gate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lions Gate Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lions Gate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Lions Gate Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lions Gate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lions Gate Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lions Gate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Lions Gate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lions Gate Entertainment has accumulated 4.42 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 99.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lions Gate Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Lions Gate's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.54 B. | |
| Lions Gate has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of Lions Gate shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: An Intrinsic Calculation For Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. Suggests Its 50 percent Undervalued |
Lions Gate Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lions Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lions Gate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lions Gate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 314 M |
Lions Gate Technical Analysis
Lions Gate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lions Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lions Gate Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lions Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lions Gate Predictive Forecast Models
Lions Gate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lions Gate's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lions Gate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lions Gate Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lions Gate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lions Gate Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lions Gate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lions Gate Entertainment has accumulated 4.42 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 99.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lions Gate Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Lions Gate's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.54 B. | |
| Lions Gate has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of Lions Gate shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: An Intrinsic Calculation For Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. Suggests Its 50 percent Undervalued |
Other Information on Investing in Lions Stock
Lions Gate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lions Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lions with respect to the benefits of owning Lions Gate security.