Longfor Properties Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 28.36

LGFRY Stock  USD 16.04  1.87  13.20%   
Longfor Properties' future price is the expected price of Longfor Properties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Longfor Properties Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Longfor Properties Backtesting, Longfor Properties Valuation, Longfor Properties Correlation, Longfor Properties Hype Analysis, Longfor Properties Volatility, Longfor Properties History as well as Longfor Properties Performance.
  
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Longfor Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 28.36

The tendency of Longfor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 28.36  after 90 days
 16.04 90 days 28.36 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Longfor Properties to stay under $ 28.36  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Longfor Properties Co probability density function shows the probability of Longfor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Longfor Properties price to stay between its current price of $ 16.04  and $ 28.36  at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Longfor Properties Co has a beta of -1.62. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Longfor Properties Co are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Longfor Properties is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Longfor Properties Co has an alpha of 1.1059, implying that it can generate a 1.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Longfor Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Longfor Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Longfor Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8816.0424.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.8013.9622.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.3816.5524.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.7314.2915.84
Details

Longfor Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Longfor Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Longfor Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Longfor Properties Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Longfor Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.62
σ
Overall volatility
3.12
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Longfor Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Longfor Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Longfor Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Longfor Properties is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Longfor Properties appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Longfor Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Longfor Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Longfor Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Longfor Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding598.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments84.8 B

Longfor Properties Technical Analysis

Longfor Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Longfor Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Longfor Properties Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Longfor Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Longfor Properties Predictive Forecast Models

Longfor Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Longfor Properties' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Longfor Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Longfor Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Longfor Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Longfor Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Longfor Properties is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Longfor Properties appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Additional Tools for Longfor Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Longfor Properties' price analysis, check to measure Longfor Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Longfor Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Longfor Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Longfor Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Longfor Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Longfor Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.