Lgl Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.13

LGL Stock  USD 5.94  0.25  4.04%   
LGL's future price is the expected price of LGL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LGL Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LGL Backtesting, LGL Valuation, LGL Correlation, LGL Hype Analysis, LGL Volatility, LGL History as well as LGL Performance.
  
At this time, LGL's Price Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Please specify LGL's target price for which you would like LGL odds to be computed.

LGL Target Price Odds to finish over 6.13

The tendency of LGL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.13  or more in 90 days
 5.94 90 days 6.13 
about 15.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LGL to move over $ 6.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.87 (This LGL Group probability density function shows the probability of LGL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LGL Group price to stay between its current price of $ 5.94  and $ 6.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.57 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon LGL Group has a beta of -0.24. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LGL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LGL Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LGL Group has an alpha of 0.0528, implying that it can generate a 0.0528 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LGL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LGL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LGL Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.475.959.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.514.998.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.465.949.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LGL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LGL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LGL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LGL Group.

LGL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LGL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LGL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LGL Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LGL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.24
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

LGL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LGL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LGL Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LGL Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
LGL Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: LGL Group Advancing Time Frequency Solutions

LGL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LGL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LGL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LGL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments40.7 M

LGL Technical Analysis

LGL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LGL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LGL Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing LGL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LGL Predictive Forecast Models

LGL's time-series forecasting models is one of many LGL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LGL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LGL Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about LGL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LGL Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LGL Group had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
LGL Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: LGL Group Advancing Time Frequency Solutions
When determining whether LGL Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze LGL's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact LGL's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding LGL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out LGL Backtesting, LGL Valuation, LGL Correlation, LGL Hype Analysis, LGL Volatility, LGL History as well as LGL Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LGL. If investors know LGL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LGL listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.85)
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
0.734
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.481
Return On Assets
0.0126
The market value of LGL Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LGL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LGL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LGL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LGL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LGL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LGL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LGL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LGL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.