LIFE CAPITAL (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 13.96

LIFE11 Fund   8.10  0.43  5.04%   
LIFE CAPITAL's future price is the expected price of LIFE CAPITAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Please specify LIFE CAPITAL's target price for which you would like LIFE CAPITAL odds to be computed.

LIFE CAPITAL Target Price Odds to finish over 13.96

The tendency of LIFE Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  13.96  or more in 90 days
 8.10 90 days 13.96 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LIFE CAPITAL to move over  13.96  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS probability density function shows the probability of LIFE Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS price to stay between its current price of  8.10  and  13.96  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LIFE CAPITAL has a beta of 0.8. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LIFE CAPITAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LIFE CAPITAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LIFE CAPITAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

LIFE CAPITAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LIFE CAPITAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LIFE CAPITAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LIFE CAPITAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.38
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

LIFE CAPITAL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LIFE CAPITAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LIFE CAPITAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

LIFE CAPITAL Technical Analysis

LIFE CAPITAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LIFE Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS. In general, you should focus on analyzing LIFE Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LIFE CAPITAL Predictive Forecast Models

LIFE CAPITAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many LIFE CAPITAL's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LIFE CAPITAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS

Checking the ongoing alerts about LIFE CAPITAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LIFE CAPITAL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
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